When to Pull the Goalie: What the Research Says About Empty-Net Timing
Why trailing hockey teams pull the goalie, what published research found about timing, how the trade-off works, and what the models cannot see.
Ice hockey · Calculator
Save percentage and goals-against average are the two numbers printed beside every goaltender’s name, and they measure different things. Save percentage is per shot: how often the goaltender stopped the puck. Goals-against average is per 60 minutes: how many goals went in during a regulation game’s worth of time, however many shots the defence allowed.
Enter shots, goals and time played to see both, along with the saves and the shot volume they come from — which is usually why the two numbers disagree.
By Reign Creative LLCPublished More in the Hockey hub
Shots against means shots on goal, which include the goals.
Save percentage (SV%).91791.7%
Saves
saves = shots against − goals against
Save percentage
SV% = saves ÷ shots against
Goals-against average
GAA = goals against × 60 ÷ minutes played
Shots faced per 60
shots against × 60 ÷ minutes played
Shots against are shots on goal, which include the goals themselves. Sixty is the length of a regulation game, so goals-against average is the number of goals the goalie would concede in a full game at the same rate.
An illustrative season — not a real goalie — of 1,800 shots and 150 goals against over 3,600 minutes, which is 60 full games:
| Statistic | Calculation | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 1,800 − 150 | 1,650 |
| SV% | 1,650 ÷ 1,800 | .917 |
| GAA | 150 × 60 ÷ 3,600 | 2.50 |
| Shots per 60 | 1,800 × 60 ÷ 3,600 | 30.0 |
Now the same save rate — 92% — behind two defences, over one 60-minute game each. (Fractional goals are fine here: these are per-game averages, not single games.)
| Defence | Shots against per 60 | SV% | GAA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Busy | 40 | .920 | 3.20 |
| Quiet | 25 | .920 | 2.00 |
The goalie’s save rate is identical; the goals-against average differs by more than a goal a game because of how many shots got through.
The goaltending explainer covers what the position actually involves, and plus/minus and hockey’s other statistics covers the skaters’ side of the stat sheet.
In Hockey Career Sim 2026 you can play a whole career as a goalie, with goaltending among the attributes you develop through training.
Reign Creative LLC makes Hockey Career Sim 2026, so we have a commercial interest in it. It is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, any league, team, players’ association or athlete.
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League, governing-body and team names appear here only to identify the formulas and rules being used. Reign Creative LLC's sports games and calculators are not affiliated with, endorsed by or licensed by any league, team, players' association or athlete, and all names and marks belong to their owners.
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