What Is EPA in Football? Expected Points Added and Success Rate, Explained
Expected points put a value on every down, distance and yard line, and EPA measures how much one play changed it. A worked drive shows how success rate differs.
American football · Calculator
Passer rating is the system the NFL has used to rate its passers since 1973: four per-attempt rates — completions, yards, touchdown passes and interceptions — converted to points and combined on a scale that tops out at 158.3. College football rates passers with a different formula, passing efficiency, from the NCAA’s statisticians’ manual.
Enter one stat line to see both, with the NFL rating’s four components laid out so you can tell whether a number is being carried by accuracy, by big gains, by touchdowns or by avoiding interceptions.
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Season, game or career totals all work. Yards are passing yards; commas are fine.
NFL passer rating122.5out of 158.3
Each NFL component runs from 0 to 2.375; the rating is their sum, divided by six and multiplied by 100. The NCAA figure follows its manual’s procedure, carrying each percentage to two decimal places.
The NFL rates passers against a fixed standard. Each of four rates is converted into points, floored at 0 and capped at 2.375, so that no single strength or weakness can dominate the result:
Then
passer rating = (completions + yards + touchdowns + interceptions) ÷ 6 × 100
A component reaches its 2.375 cap at 77.5% completions, 12.5 yards per attempt, touchdowns on 11.875% of attempts, or no interceptions at all. Four capped components give the maximum rating of 158.3.
The NFL’s Record & Fact Book illustrates the formula with a season of 343 completions in 502 attempts for 4,643 yards, 45 touchdowns and six interceptions. Run through the same code as the calculator above, it produces the figures the Fact Book prints:
| Component | Rate | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Completions | 68.33% | 1.916 |
| Yards | 9.25 per attempt | 1.562 |
| Touchdowns | 8.96% | 1.793 |
| Interceptions | 1.20% | 2.076 |
| Sum ÷ 6 × 100 | — | 122.5 |
Reading the components is more useful than reading the total. Here the interception component is close to its cap and the completion component is strong, while the yards component is the smallest of the four — the season’s rating rests on accuracy and on avoiding interceptions as much as on big gains.
NCAA pass efficiency
completion % + 8.4 × yards per attempt + 3.3 × touchdown % − 2 × interception %
The NCAA’s statisticians’ manual defines its own formula, with no floor and no cap, and says the multipliers were chosen to make 100 the average rating. It also tells statisticians to carry every percentage to two decimal places, and the calculator follows that procedure, which reproduces the manual’s sample compilation:
| Factor | Calculation | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Completion % | 98 ÷ 166 × 100 | 59.04 |
| Yards per attempt × 8.4 | 9.44 × 8.4 | 79.30 |
| Touchdown % × 3.3 | 9.64 × 3.3 | 31.81 |
| Interception % × 2 | 4.22 × 2 | − 8.44 |
| Efficiency | — | 161.71 |
The two scales are not interchangeable: a college efficiency rating and an NFL passer rating for the same stat line will be different numbers, so compare passers only within one system.
For what a quarterback does beyond the stat sheet, the guide to reading a defence and the quarterback archetypes explainer cover the decisions the numbers cannot see.
Football Career Sim 2026 follows one quarterback’s career, and its seasons keep the numbers these formulas are built from — passing yards, touchdowns, interceptions and completion percentage.
Reign Creative LLC makes Football Career Sim 2026, so we have a commercial interest in it. It is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, any league, team, players’ association or athlete.
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League, governing-body and team names appear here only to identify the formulas and rules being used. Reign Creative LLC's sports games and calculators are not affiliated with, endorsed by or licensed by any league, team, players' association or athlete, and all names and marks belong to their owners.
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