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Risk Tolerance and Time Horizon: Questions to Ask Before Any Investment

Risk tolerance is your ability and willingness to lose money for higher potential returns. How time horizon changes it, a drawdown test and questions to ask.

By Published 3 min read

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AI-assisted article. Drafted with AI tools from the sources cited below and checked by automated tests and an AI editorial review. No person has reviewed it yet. How we write and check articles.

Key takeaways

  • Investor.gov defines risk tolerance as your ability and willingness to lose some or all of an investment in exchange for greater potential returns.
  • Ability is financial: when you need the money and what else you have. Willingness is emotional: whether you can sleep at night holding the investment.
  • Money needed within about five years generally does not belong in risky investments; money for goals decades away may be able to take more risk.
  • Losses need larger gains to recover: a 20% fall needs a 25% rise, and a 50% fall needs a 100% rise.
  • Online risk questionnaires can help, but Investor.gov warns their results may be biased toward the sponsor's products.

Every investment answers two questions at once: how much might this earn, and how much might it lose along the way? Risk tolerance is about the second. Investor.gov defines it as an investor's ability and willingness to lose some or all of an investment in exchange for greater potential returns. That definition contains two separate tests, and they do not always point the same way.

Ability and willingness

Ability to take risk Willingness to take risk
What it measures Whether your finances can absorb a loss Whether you can live with one
Shaped by When you need the money, income, savings, debts Temperament and experience
Investor.gov's framing When you will need the money, and your goals Whether you will be able to sleep at night holding a risky investment

The two can conflict. A 25-year-old saving for retirement has decades of ability but may panic at the first fall. A cautious saver close to buying a home may be willing to gamble but has no ability to recover if the deposit shrinks.

Time horizon changes the answer

Investor.gov's asset allocation guidance defines the time horizon as the number of months, years or decades you plan to invest to reach a goal, and notes that investors with longer horizons may be more comfortable with riskier or more volatile investments.

Its "gauge your risk tolerance" page gives two contrasting cases:

  • 35 years to retirement. You may want to consider riskier investments, because sticking only to savings products or low-risk investments may make your money grow too slowly, and inflation and taxes may erode its purchasing power. Investor.gov calls putting long-term money in low-interest investments a frequent mistake.
  • A goal five years away or less. You do not want risky investments, because when it is time to sell, you may have to take a loss.

Splitting money by goal helps: an emergency fund, a house deposit and a retirement account can each have a different risk level.

A drawdown test in dollars

Percentages feel abstract until they are dollars. Investor.gov notes that large-company stocks as a group have lost money on average about one out of every three years, and it generally defines a bear market as a fall of 20% or more in a broad index over at least two months. Imagine a $10,000 portfolio:

Fall Portfolio becomes Gain needed to get back to $10,000
10% $9,000 11.1%
20% $8,000 25.0%
33% $6,700 49.3%
50% $5,000 100.0%

Two lessons. First, ask honestly what you would do at each row: hold, add money or sell. Selling at the bottom turns a temporary fall into a permanent loss. Second, losses are asymmetric: the deeper the fall, the larger the percentage gain needed to recover, which is why limiting large losses matters. Volatility explained covers how the size of typical swings is measured.

Questions to ask before any investment

Drawing on Investor.gov's guidance:

  1. When will I need this money? Investor.gov's guidance is that money for a goal five years or less away does not belong in risky investments.
  2. What happens if I lose some or all of it? That is the definition of risk tolerance in practice.
  3. Do I understand it? If you cannot explain how it makes or loses money, you cannot judge how much it might lose.
  4. How do the risks compare with the rewards? Higher potential returns come with greater risk, and pitches of high returns with little or no risk are a hallmark of fraud; see investment fraud red flags.
  5. Is it spread out? Diversification and a mix of assets such as stocks and bonds reduce the damage any one holding can do.

Questionnaires and professional advice

Investor.gov notes that some investment websites offer free online questionnaires to help assess risk tolerance, but warns that results may be biased towards the products or services of whoever sponsors the website.

When a broker makes a recommendation, the firm is expected to know your situation. FINRA's suitability rule, which applies where the SEC's Regulation Best Interest does not, lists what a customer's investment profile includes: age, other investments, financial situation and needs, tax status, investment objectives, investment experience, time horizon, liquidity needs and risk tolerance. Working through the same list yourself is a sound way to prepare.

A simulator can show how a position's value swings, though it cannot reproduce the feeling of losing real money. Learn to Trade Stocks Beginner, one of our education apps, uses a virtual balance for exactly that kind of practice. The investing basics hub lists the related guides.

Good to know

Frequently asked questions

What is risk tolerance?
Investor.gov defines it as an investor's ability and willingness to lose some or all of an investment in exchange for greater potential returns. Someone with high risk tolerance accepts the chance of losses for potentially higher returns; someone with low risk tolerance favours investments that seek to preserve the original amount.
How does time horizon affect risk?
A longer horizon gives investments time to recover from falls. Investor.gov suggests someone 35 years from retirement may want to consider riskier investments, while money for a goal five years away or less should not be in risky investments, because you may have to sell at a loss.
Can risk tolerance be too low?
Yes. Investor.gov calls it a frequent mistake to put money you will not need for a very long time into investments paying a low amount of interest, because given inflation and taxes it may grow too slowly or lose purchasing power.
Are online risk tolerance quizzes reliable?
They can be a starting point. Investor.gov notes that some investment websites offer free questionnaires, but that results may be biased towards products or services sold by the companies or individuals sponsoring the websites.

Sources

  1. Risk Tolerance (glossary) (opens in a new tab)Investor.gov, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission — accessed
  2. Gauge Your Risk Tolerance (opens in a new tab)Investor.gov, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission — accessed
  3. Asset Allocation and Diversification (opens in a new tab)Investor.gov, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission — accessed
  4. Five Questions to Ask Before You Invest (opens in a new tab)Investor.gov, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission — accessed
  5. Rule 2111. Suitability (opens in a new tab)FINRA — accessed
  6. Stocks – FAQs (opens in a new tab)Investor.gov, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission — accessed
  7. Bear Market (glossary) (opens in a new tab)Investor.gov, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission — accessed

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