Key takeaways
- Count the postseason as 20 teams, not 16: the top six in each conference qualify directly and seeds 7 to 10 play the Play-In for the last two places.
- Value a top-eight finish over ninth or tenth: the 7 and 8 seeds need one win from two chances, the 9 and 10 seeds need two straight wins.
- Expect every series to be best-of-seven on a 2-2-1-1-1 schedule, with the team holding home-court advantage hosting games 1, 2, 5 and 7.
- Re-run the tank-or-chase maths for 2026-27, the first season that feeds the 3-2-1 Lottery: the three worst records get two balls, one fewer than the other seven teams that miss the postseason.
- Remember the calendar: the 2026-27 regular season ends on 11 April 2027, the Play-In runs from 13 to 16 April and the playoffs begin on 17 April.
The NBA postseason has two stages. First, in each conference, the teams with the seventh- to tenth-best records play the Play-In Tournament for the last two playoff places; the top six qualify directly. Then 16 teams, eight per conference, play four rounds of best-of-seven series: the first round, the conference semifinals, the conference finals and the NBA Finals. Every series follows a 2-2-1-1-1 home schedule.
For 2026-27 the dates are set: the regular season ends on 11 April 2027, the Play-In runs from 13 to 16 April, and the playoffs begin on 17 April, according to the league's calendar for the season.
The postseason at a glance
| Stage | Who | Format |
|---|---|---|
| Regular season | All 30 teams | 82 games; seeds within each conference ranked by winning percentage |
| Play-In Tournament | Seeds 7 to 10 in each conference | Three single games per conference, deciding the No. 7 and No. 8 seeds |
| First round | 8 teams per conference | Best-of-seven |
| Conference semifinals | 4 teams per conference | Best-of-seven |
| Conference finals | 2 teams per conference | Best-of-seven |
| NBA Finals | The two conference champions | Best-of-seven |
Twenty of the 30 teams therefore reach some form of postseason, ten from each conference. The league's announcement for 2020-21 set out the Play-In in those terms, for the teams "with the seventh-highest through the tenth-highest winning percentages in each conference."
The Play-In bracket, step by step
Each conference runs the same three games:
- No. 7 hosts No. 8. The winner becomes the No. 7 seed in the playoffs. The loser gets another chance.
- No. 9 hosts No. 10. The winner advances. The loser is eliminated.
- The loser of game 1 hosts the winner of game 2. The winner becomes the No. 8 seed. The loser is eliminated.
The structure rewards finishing seventh or eighth far more than it first appears:
| Seed | To reach the playoffs it needs | Home games |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | One win from up to two games | Both games at home |
| 8 | One win from up to two games | Game 1 away; game 3, if needed, at home |
| 9 | Two straight wins | Game 2 at home; game 3 away |
| 10 | Two straight wins | Both games away |
So the gap between eighth and ninth is bigger than one place. Eighth gets two chances to win once; ninth has to win twice in a row, the second time on the road.
Where the Play-In came from
The league used the Play-In in 2020-21 and 2021-22, and a play-in element also appeared during the 2020 restart. In July 2022 team owners voted to make it, in the words of the Associated Press report on NBA.com, "a full-time path to the playoffs."
The series format
Best-of-seven in every round
The first round was the last to change. NBA.com's review of 2002-03 records that before that season the first round "was expanded from best-of-five to a best-of-seven." Since then, every round has needed four wins.
2-2-1-1-1, and the 2-3-2 that came before
In a 2-2-1-1-1 series, the team with home-court advantage hosts games 1, 2, 5 and 7; its opponent hosts games 3, 4 and 6. The NBA Finals did not always work that way. The league's October 2013 announcement explains that "over the previous 29 seasons" the Finals used a 2-3-2 pattern, with the team holding home-court advantage hosting games 1, 2, 6 and 7 and its opponent hosting the middle three. From the 2014 Finals the league switched to 2-2-1-1-1, which it said "aligns The Finals format with every other round of the NBA Playoffs."
The same release notes that the Finals had used 2-2-1-1-1 before, from 1957 to 1984, except in 1978. The league's explanation for returning to it was that, with improvements in team air travel and technology, the old reasons for 2-3-2 "largely do not exist anymore."
The March decision: chase the Play-In, or not?
For a front office, the postseason format and the draft order are two halves of one decision, and in 2026-27 the draft half has changed. In May 2026 the league approved the "3-2-1 Lottery" for the 2027, 2028 and 2029 drafts. It expands the lottery from 14 teams to 16 and hands out balls like this:
| Finish | Lottery balls | Chance at the No. 1 pick (our arithmetic) |
|---|---|---|
| Missed the postseason, not among the three worst records | 3 | About 8.1% |
| One of the three worst records ("draft relegated") | 2, and no worse than the No. 12 pick | About 5.4% |
| No. 9 or No. 10 seed in a conference | 2 | About 5.4% |
| Lost a No. 7 vs No. 8 Play-In game | 1 | About 2.7% |
The chances are our arithmetic, not league figures. They assume that the first ball drawn decides the No. 1 pick, that every ball is equally likely to come out first and that none of the pick restrictions below rules a team out. There are 37 balls: seven non-postseason teams with three (21), the three relegated teams with two (6), the four 9 and 10 seeds with two (8) and the two 7-8 losers with one (2). Three balls therefore give 3 ÷ 37, about 8.1%; two give 2 ÷ 37, about 5.4%; one gives 1 ÷ 37, about 2.7%. The announcement does not describe how the drawing works beyond that, so we have not estimated the odds for any later pick.
Three consequences follow for the GM deciding what to do in March:
- Finishing last no longer maximises your odds. The three worst records lose a ball, so a team that misses the postseason without finishing in the bottom three now has the best chance at the top pick. The relegated teams get a floor of the No. 12 pick in exchange; every other lottery team can fall as far as No. 16.
- Reaching the Play-In costs lottery odds but not all of them. The No. 9 and No. 10 seeds get two balls each, and the losers of the 7-8 games get one each.
- One case is not yet specified. The announcement hands out balls by Play-In seed and by the result of the 7-8 game. It does not say whether a team keeps them if it goes on to win the last Play-In game and enter the playoffs as the No. 8 seed; the league has not yet specified that case.
The new system also bars any team's pick from going first overall in two consecutive drafts or landing in the top five in three consecutive drafts. The limits follow a team's own pick even after it has been traded, which caps how often one franchise's pick can land at the very top.
How draft lotteries work explains the general trade-off lottery designers face, and rebuild vs retool covers the strategic choice underneath.
Postseason races in a simulation
Pro Basketball GM Franchise takes a drafted roster through an 82-game season and the playoff race, with contracts, trades and rotations to manage along the way. The format and lottery described here are the real league's; nothing in this article describes how the app runs its own postseason. The basketball draft simulator guide covers how to read a simulated season without over-reading it. More explainers are collected on the basketball hub, and our management games sit in the sports GM category.
Good to know
Frequently asked questions
How does the NBA Play-In Tournament work?
How many teams make the NBA playoffs?
Is every NBA playoff round best-of-seven?
What does 2-2-1-1-1 mean, and what was 2-3-2?
Do Play-In teams get draft lottery odds?
Sources
- Everything to know about 2026 SoFi NBA Play-In Tournament (opens in a new tab)NBA.com — accessed
- NBA adopts Play-In Tournament on full-time basis (opens in a new tab)NBA.com — accessed
- NBA announces structure and format for 2020-21 season (opens in a new tab)NBA Communications — accessed
- Season Review: 2002-03 (opens in a new tab)NBA.com — accessed
- NBA Board of Governors approves change to The Finals format (opens in a new tab)NBA Communications — accessed
- Key dates for 2026-27 NBA season (opens in a new tab)NBA.com — accessed
- NBA announces schedule for 2026-27 regular season (opens in a new tab)NBA Communications — accessed
- 2026 NBA Playoffs Schedule (opens in a new tab)NBA.com — accessed
- NBA Board of Governors approves new Draft Lottery system to address tanking (opens in a new tab)NBA.com — accessed
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